HASHuman Autonomy Study
NOCollaborate
← Human Autonomy Study

Make the assumptions inspectable.

A living register of propositions HAS is willing to test, revise or discard. These are not findings. Each entry states what could strengthen it, what could weaken it and what should be measured next.

HYPOTHESIS ≠ FINDINGA useful hypothesis must be allowed to fail.

The registry is deliberately selective. Public entries are hypotheses that can be operationalized without exposing the private Life Archive. Support does not prove causality; contradiction is retained rather than edited away.

H-002OPEN / FOUNDATION

Systems may outperform motivation under low capacity.

When usable capacity drops, simple pre-committed systems will preserve useful action more reliably than motivation-dependent plans.

WHAT WOULD SUPPORT IT

A smaller drop in task completion on low-capacity days when a predefined minimum protocol is available.

WHAT WOULD WEAKEN IT

No meaningful difference after accounting for load, or motivation-dependent plans perform equally well.

NEXT TEST

Tag daily capacity, protocol availability and completion; compare low-capacity days across repeated observations.

ORIGIN

Lived observation / method

H-003OPEN / FOUNDATION

A credible identity shift may stabilize recovery behaviour.

When a future identity feels believable and behaviourally specific, it may support more consistent long-horizon choices during recovery.

WHAT WOULD SUPPORT IT

Higher identity congruence precedes more goal-consistent behaviour during comparable stress and load.

WHAT WOULD WEAKEN IT

Identity ratings show no relationship to behaviour, or stronger identity intensity coincides with greater instability.

NEXT TEST

Track weekly identity congruence alongside selected behavioural commitments and major contextual disruptions.

ORIGIN

Lived observation

H-005OPEN / FOUNDATION

Available cognitive capacity may increase during stabilization.

What feels like increased intelligence during recovery may partly reflect reduced cognitive friction and greater access to existing capacity rather than a change in general intelligence.

WHAT WOULD SUPPORT IT

Improvement across repeated learning, reasoning, calibration and execution measures as stability improves.

WHAT WOULD WEAKEN IT

Performance does not improve, or changes are fully explained by short-term state variables such as sleep or acute stimulation.

NEXT TEST

Repeat a small cognitive battery and execution measures over time while logging state variables and task conditions.

ORIGIN

Lived observation / cognitive hypothesis

H-008OPEN / FOUNDATION

Metacognitive debugging may improve calibration.

A short State → Story → Evidence → Action loop may improve the alignment between confidence and later-observed decision quality.

WHAT WOULD SUPPORT IT

Confidence estimates become better calibrated without a material loss of decision speed or follow-through.

WHAT WOULD WEAKEN IT

Calibration does not improve, or the added reflection mainly increases hesitation without improving outcomes.

NEXT TEST

Record pre-decision confidence from 0–100%, apply the loop on selected decisions, then score outcomes later.

ORIGIN

Method hypothesis

H-009OPEN / FOUNDATION

Raw-first logging may reduce retrospective distortion.

Recording observations before interpretation may preserve uncertainty and context more accurately than reconstructing events after a narrative has formed.

WHAT WOULD SUPPORT IT

Later summaries remain closer to contemporaneous records and preserve more uncertainty when raw-first logging was used.

WHAT WOULD WEAKEN IT

The order of logging makes no meaningful difference to later reconstruction or interpretation.

NEXT TEST

Compare matched periods using raw-first capture versus retrospective summary and audit divergence.

ORIGIN

Method hypothesis

H-012OPEN / FOUNDATION

Autonomy debt may consume usable cognitive bandwidth.

Accumulated unresolved obligations, administrative friction and open loops may reduce attention and execution capacity beyond the time they directly consume.

WHAT WOULD SUPPORT IT

Higher open-loop load predicts more task switching, lower completion or higher perceived cognitive load, with improvement after meaningful closure.

WHAT WOULD WEAKEN IT

Open-loop load does not track usable capacity, or closing loops produces no repeatable change.

NEXT TEST

Track unresolved-loop count and load ratings, then measure before/after effects of bounded closure sessions.

ORIGIN

Systems hypothesis

H-015OPEN / FOUNDATION

AI can increase or decrease autonomy depending on interaction architecture.

AI may strengthen autonomy when it improves evidence access and reduces friction, but weaken it when conversational framing replaces independent judgment.

WHAT WOULD SUPPORT IT

Decisions made with frozen criteria and explicit evidence separation are more stable and better calibrated than decisions shaped through unconstrained dialogue.

WHAT WOULD WEAKEN IT

Structured use provides no advantage, or unconstrained dialogue produces equal or better decision quality without greater reversal or dependency.

NEXT TEST

Compare paired decisions using predefined criteria versus open-ended AI dialogue and score later outcomes blind to method.

ORIGIN

AI / decision systems hypothesis

H-019OPEN / FOUNDATION

Creative expression may function as emotional externalization.

Turning intense internal states into music, writing or other artefacts may reduce rumination and increase reflective distance without requiring the state to be suppressed.

WHAT WOULD SUPPORT IT

Repeated sessions show lower post-session rumination or affect intensity and clearer articulation of the underlying state.

WHAT WOULD WEAKEN IT

No repeatable pre/post change appears, or externalization reliably intensifies rumination or dysregulation.

NEXT TEST

Use simple pre/post ratings around selected creative sessions and compare effects across state, medium and context.

ORIGIN

Lived observation / creative process